Message-Id: <199709051655.JAA40134@dns.ccit.arizona.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 10:01:25 -0700 From: Steve Gilheany <mailto:SteveGilheany@WORLDNET.ATT.NET> Subject: Re: 20 Year Price List from 3 Day UCLA Extension Document Imaging To: mailto:IMAGELIB@LISTSERV.ARIZONA.EDU
Hi Paul,See below,
Steve
Steve Gilheany Tel: (310) 937-4757 Fax: (310) 937-4758 mailto:SteveGilheany@worldnet.att.net
---------- > From: Paul Andersen <mailto:paul_andersen@ONLINE.DISNEY.COM>
> To: mailto:IMAGELIB@LISTSERV.ARIZONA.EDU
> Subject: Re: 20 Year Price List from 3 Day UCLA Extension Document
ImagingCourse > Date: Friday, September 05, 1997 8:45 AM
>
> Steve,
>
> I'm glad to hear that you are the instructor and no copyright infringment
is happening. I have two degrees from UCLA and am a bit protective.My two from UCLA are an MBA and an MLS specialization in information science. >
> Yes, I did find your postings to be interesting, however, my position
here at Disney Online does not require me to oversee the image collections anymore so I really don't have practical use. >
> Thanks for sharing,
>
> Paul
> =========== REPLY PARTITION ===========
>
> On 09/04/97, at 06:16 PM, Steve Gilheany wrote:
>
> >Hi Paul,
> >
> >Thanks for your interest in my class.
> >
> >I am the instructor and I own the copyrights to the contents of this
> >message because I wrote them and did not sell the copyright.
> >
> >While I can say more about this information in my class, I would like to
> >make this information available to people so they can use it in their
jobs. > >
> >Please let me know if it was useful to you.
> >
> >
> >Thanks
> >
> >Steve
> >
> >
> >Steve Gilheany
> >Tel: (310) 937-4757 Fax: (310) 937-4758
> >mailto:SteveGilheany@worldnet.att.net
> >
> >
> >----------
> >> From: Paul Andersen <mailto:paul_andersen@ONLINE.DISNEY.COM>
> >> To: mailto:IMAGELIB@LISTSERV.ARIZONA.EDU
> >> Subject: Re: 20 Year Price List from 3 Day UCLA Extension Document
> >ImagingCourse
> >> Date: Thursday, September 04, 1997 8:56 AM
> >>
> >> This is not the first email I have seen posting information from a
UCLA > >extension text. If I am not mistaken even course handouts are protected
by > >copyright. Have you received permission from the author or instructor
to > >post this message?
> >>
> >> =========== REPLY PARTITION ===========
> >>
> >> On 09/03/97, at 12:11 AM, Steve Gilheany wrote:
> >>
> >> >20 Year Price List from 3 Day UCLA Extension Document Imaging Course
> >> >
> >> >-------
> >> > Course Handout on the Cost of 1 TeraByte of Magnetic Disk Storage
over > >the
> >> >next 20 years.
> >> >-------
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >20 Year Price List for the Cost of 1 TeraByte of Magnetic Disk
Storage > >(*1)
> >> >
> >> >1994 $1,000,000.00
> >> >1995 $400,000.00
> >> >1996 $160,000.00
> >> >1997 $64,000.00
> >> >1998 $25,600.00
> >> >1999 $10,240.00
> >> >2000 $4,096.00
> >> >2001 $1,638.40
> >> >2002 $655.36
> >> >2003 $262.14
> >> >2004 $104.86
> >> >2005 $41.94
> >> >2006 $16.78
> >> >2007 $6.71
> >> >2008 $2.68
> >> >2009 $1.07
> >> >2010 $0.43
> >> >2011 $0.17
> >> >2012 $0.07
> >> >2013 $0.03
> >> >2014 $0.01
> >> >2015 $0.00
> >> >
> >> >-------
> >> >Meta-Notes
> >> >-------
> >> >
> >> >To the people who requested that I post this, thanks for your
interest. > >> >
> >> >To the people who offered suggestions and information, thanks for
your > >> >support.
> >> >
> >> >Trademarks are the property of their respective holders. No warranty
of > >> >any type is expressed or implied.
> >> >
> >> >Please see the note at the end for cross listing of this posting.
> >> >
> >> >Please consider using some or all of this posting in your newsletter
> >with a
> >> >note as to where it came from.
> >> >
> >> >Please email me your comments.
> >> >
> >> >If you receive questions on the accuracy or applicability of these
> >> >estimates or have questions yourself, please email me.
> >> >
> >> >These listings, along with Microsoft Word, Excel, and Power Point
(400 > >> >slides) files will be posted at www.ArchiveBuilders.com after
September > >5,
> >> >1997 under Course Notes. All of the information for these two
one-page > >> >handouts is here, except the formatting information.
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >-------
> >> > Course Handout on the Cost of 1 TeraByte of Magnetic Disk Storage
over > >the
> >> >next 20 years.
> >> >-------
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >(This table is best viewed in a 9 point Courier font after being
pasted > >> >into a word processor.)
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >20 Year Price List for Cost of 1 TeraByte of Magnetic Disk Storage
> >> >
> >>
>-----------------------------------------------------------------------
> >> > ! ! ! ! !
> >> > !Cost to Store!Cost to Store !Cost to Store !Cost to Store !
Cost > >> >Year!2 Thousand !1 Million !1 Thousand !One ! to
> >> > !File Cabinets!Pages !Pages !Page !
Store > >> > !(1 TeraByte) !(50 GigaBytes)!(50 MegaBytes)!(50 KiloBytes)!1
TByte > >> > ! ! ! ! !
> >>
>-----------------------------------------------------------------------
> >> > ! ! ! ! !
> >> > !-60% per year! -60% per year! -60% per year! -60% per
year!-60%/yr > >> > ! ! ! ! !
> >> > ! *1 ! *1 ! *1 ! *1 ! *1
> >>
>-----------------------------------------------------------------------
> >> > ! ! ! ! !
> >> >1994 $1,000,000.00! $50,000.00 !$50.00 ! $0.05
$1,000,000.00 > >> >1995 $400,000.00! $20,000.00 !$20.00 ! $0.02
$400,000.00 > >> >1996 $160,000.00! $8,000.00 ! $8.00 ! $0.01
$160,000.00 > >> >1997 $64,000.00! $3,200.00 ! $3.20 ! $0.003
$64,000.00 > >> >1998 $25,600.00! $1,280.00 ! $1.28 ! $0.001
$25,600.00 > >> >1999 $10,240.00! $512.00 ! $0.51 ! $0.001
$10,240.00 > >> >2000 $4,096.00! $204.80 ! $0.20 ! $0.0002
$4,096.00 > >> >2001 $1,638.40! $81.92 ! $0.08 ! $0.0001
$1,638.40 > >> >2002 $655.36! $32.77 ! $0.03 ! $0.00003
$655.36 > >> >2003 $262.14! $13.11 ! $0.01 ! $0.00001
$262.14 > >> >2004 $104.86! $5.24 ! $0.01 ! $0.00001
$104.86 > >> >2005 $41.94! $2.10 ! $0.002 ! $0.000002
$41.94 > >> >2006 $16.78! $0.84 ! $0.001 ! $0.000001
$16.78 > >> >2007 $6.71! $0.34 ! $0.0003 ! $0.0000003
$6.71 > >> >2008 $2.68! $0.13 ! $0.0001 ! $0.0000001
$2.68 > >> >2009 $1.07! $0.05 ! $0.0001 ! $0.0000001
$1.07 > >> >2010 $0.43! $0.02 ! $0.00002 ! $0.00000002
$0.43 > >> >2011 $0.17! $0.01 ! $0.00001 ! $0.00000001
$0.17 > >> >2012 $0.07! $0.003 ! $0.000003 ! $0.000000003
$0.07 > >> >2013 $0.03! $0.001 ! $0.000001 ! $0.000000001
$0.03 > >> >2014 $0.01! $0.001 ! $0.000001 ! $0.000000001
$0.01 > >> >2015 $0.00! $0.000 ! $0.000000 ! $0.000000000
$0.00 > >> >
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >*1 The current rate of decline in magnetic disk storage costs is
based > >on
> >> >prices over the last eight years. IBM's magnetoresistive head
> >technology
> >> >[that underlies IBM's influence on disk prices], has been increasing
the > >> >areal bit density of magnetic disks at a rate of 60 percent per year
> >since
> >> >1989*. IBM projects that the 60 percent rate will continue for the
> >> >foreseeable future*. IBM's laboratory results confirm this rate
until > >at
> >> >least the year 2000. And, while costs are decreasing, reliability
has > >> >increased to a disk drive MTBF (Mean Time Between Failures) of
1,000,000 > >> >hours.*[*Source: The Era of Magnetoresistive Heads, Ed Grochowski,
IBM > >> >Research Division, Almaden Research Center, San Jose, CA., 1994]
> >> >
> >> >The historic rate of decline in magnetic disk storage cost is based
on > >the
> >> >5 MegaByte RAMAC disk drive introduced by IBM in June, 1957, at a
> >monthly
> >> >rental of $3,200.00*(in 1957 dollars), and on 1994 disk prices. The
> >> >decline from the 1957 RAMAC cost of $100,000 per MByte (Adjusted to
1994 > >> >dollars, and adjusted for IBM's historic desire to rent rather than
> >sell),
> >> >to the cost of $ 1 per MByte for drives available in 1994, represents
a > >> >decline of 27 percent per year for 37 years.[*Source: IBM's Early
> >> >Computers, by Charles J. Bashe, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 1986.]
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >{The storage MTBF (a component of system availability) of a document
> >> >management system can be increased to the level desired through the
use > >of
> >> >RAID (Redundant Array of Inexpensive Disks) technology.
Rev > >22
> >> >Archive Builders
> >> >
> >> >--------
> >> >Course Handout on Computer Storage Requirements by Document Type
> >> >--------
> >> >
> >> >[N.B. these estimates will help you size your system. After you have
> >> >scanned in from 1 to 10 percent of your documents, you will know
quite > >> >precisely how your documents match these estimates and you can apply
a > >> >conversion factor. For example, if your images are ten percent
smaller > >> >than these estimates, on average, multiply your storage estimates by
90 > >> >percent. Because storage costs are a small part of overall
conversion > >> >costs, these slight variations are generally not a problem in
planning.] > >> >
> >> >1 scanned page (8 1/2 by 11 inches) (CCITT G4 compressed) = 50
> >KiloBytes
> >> >(KByte) (on average)
> >> >
> >> >1 file cabinet (4 drawer) (10,000 pages on average) = 500 MegaBytes
> >(MByte)
> >> >= 1 CD ROM
> >> >
> >> >2 file cabinets = 1,000 MBytes = 1 GigaByte (GByte); 10 file
cabinets = > >1
> >> >DVD (see below)
> >> >
> >> >2,000 file cabinets = 1,000 GBytes = 1 TeraByte (TByte); 2,000 file
> >> >cabinets = 200 DVDs
> >> >
> >> >1 banker's box (2,500 pages) = 1 file drawer = 2 linear feet of files
= > >125
> >> >MBytes
> >> >
> >> >8 banker's boxes = 16 linear feet = 1 GByte; 8,000 boxes = 16,000
> >linear
> >> >feet = 1 TByte
> >> >
> >> >1 roll of 16 mm microfilm (100 ft) = 2,500 letter size images = 1
> >banker's
> >> >box = 125 MBytes
> >> >
> >> >1 roll of 35 mm microfilm (100 ft) = 5,000 letter size images (or
letter > >> >size image equivalents) = 250 MBytes
> >> >
> >> >1 microfiche (average) = 100 letter size images; 200 fiche = 20,000
> >images
> >> >= 1 GByte
> >> >
> >> >[N.B. In many record series, microfiche contain only a few images
> >because
> >> >each fiche represents a single record in the series. In this case
> >filming
> >> >breaks on record boundaries, rather than being continuous. To a
lesser > >> >extent this is also true for roll film. In these cases, the amount
of > >> >storage required depends on the number of images on the film, not the
> >> >number of microfiche or the number of rolls of film.]
> >> >
> >> >Scanned aperture card images require the same storage as the document
or > >> >drawing in the aperture would require at its physical, one-to-one,
> >> >full-size, un-microphotographed size.
> >> >
> >> >1 E size drawing (48 inches by 36 inches) = 16 letter size pages (8
1/2 > >by
> >> >11 inches);
> >> >
> >> >[D size = 8 pages; C size = 4 pages; B size = 2 pages; A size = 1
page > >> >//old E size 48 x 36 in., new E size 44 x 34 in. (A0 size is the ISO
> >> >European size equivalent nomenclature for E size), D size (A1) 34 x
22, > >C
> >> >size (A2) 22 x 17, B size (A3) 11 x 17, A size (A4) 8½ x 11 // F size
28 > >x
> >> >40, Roll sizes: G size 11 x 22 ½ to 11 x 90, H size 28 x 44 to 28 x
143, > >J
> >> >size 34 x 56 to 34 by 176, K size 40 x 56 to 40 x 143 in. // For
> >> >newspapers, a double truck (center fold) full broadsheet is 24 x 36
> >inches,
> >> >equivalent to an old D size drawing.]
> >> >
> >> >1 hour compressed color video = 2 GBytes (DVD, MPEG 2) (image quality
> >> >dependent)
> >> >
> >> >1 hour audio = 10 MBytes (dictation, answering machine) to 500 MBytes
(a > >CD
> >> >holds 74 minutes of music)
> >> >
> >> >1 color picture = 10 KBytes (thumbnail) to 5 MBytes (for each of 100
> >photos
> >> >on a 500 MByte photo CD)
> >> >
> >> >[N.B. The size of the compressed file for a scanned photograph
depends > >on
> >> >the resolution (DPI: Dots Per Inch) and the detail (information) in
the > >> >photograph. The detail in a photograph is dependent on the size of
the > >> >negative and the quality of the film and the camera and lens (It is
not > >> >related to the print size unless the print is smaller than the
> >negative).
> >> >The resolution of the scan should be chosen to match the detail of
the > >> >photograph. For most cameras, films, and formats 35 mm and smaller,
the > >5
> >> >MByte Photo CD format (3,072 by 2,048 pixels) captures all the
> >information
> >> >in the image. N.B. this is in dots per image rather than dots per
> >inch.]
> >> >
> >> >1 Chest X-ray = 1 MegaByte (14 x 17 inches), 150 DPI (Dots Per Inch),
12 > >> >bits (compressed)
> >> >
> >> >[(12 bits per pixel, provides 4,096 shades of grey) (wavlet
compression, > >> >lossless mode, has FDA 510(k) approval) / (150 DPI, 12 bit images
> >> >recommended by American College of Radiology for primary reads) / 14
x > >17
> >> >Chest X-ray =200 KiloBytes (for secondary reads: wavlet compression,
> >lossy
> >> >mode, has FDA 510(k) approval)]
> >> >
> >> >1 Byte (B)(common usage) = 8 bits (b) = 1 character; 1 Unicode Byte
= > >16
> >> >bits = 1 character
> >> >
> >> >[1,000 Bytes =~ (~ about) 1 KiloByte; 1,000 KBytes =~ 1 MegaByte;
1,000 > >> >MBytes =~ 1 GigaByte; 1,000 GBytes =~ 1 TeraByte; 1,000 TBytes =~ 1
> >> >PetaByte; 1,000 PBytes =~ 1 ExaByte]
> >> >
> >> >Modem = 33 Kbit per second = 2 pages per minute (~$30.00 per month
for a > >> >standard phone line)
> >> >
> >> >ISDN (1 voice channel) = 56 Kbit per second = 5 pages per minute
> >(~$50.00
> >> >per month)(ISDN charge)
> >> >
> >> >T1 (24 voice channels) = 1.544 Mbit per second = 3 pages per second
> >> >(~$1,000.00 per month)
> >> >
> >> >Ethernet (CSMA/CD) = 1 Mbit per second (effective) or 10 Mbit per
second > >> >(nominal) = 2 pages per second
> >> >
> >> >OC3 ATM (Asynchronous Transfer Mode) = 155 Mbit per second = 300
pages > >per
> >> >second
> >> >
> >> >OC192 (SONET optical fiber) = 10 Gbit per second = 20,000 pages (2
file > >> >cabinets) per second
> >> >
> >> >Optical carrier frequency = 400 THz (40,000 cycles used for every
OC192 > >bit
> >> >transmitted)
> >> >
> >> >[N.B. Spelling out Byte and bit whenever used considerably reduces
> >> >confusion as files stored as Bytes are transmitted as bits.]
> >> >
> >> >1 DVD (Digital Video Disk) (same physical size as a CD ROM) = 7.4
GByte > >> >(WORM)
> >> >
> >> >[(WORM: Write Once, Read Many) (2 sided, 1 layer per side); = 5.2
GByte > >RAM
> >> >or RW (overwrite, rewrite) (2 sided, 1 layer per side); = 17 GBytes
> >(ROM)
> >> >(2 sided, 2 layers per side). Multimedia: 5 channel (theater quality
> >> >surround sound)(5.1, Dolby AC-3) / 96 KHz / 24 bit audio, 8 languages
, > >32
> >> >subtitles, and about 135 minutes (long enough to accommodate 94% of
all > >> >movies) of high quality (720 horizontal lines) video on each of 4
> >layers.
> >> >The file format is ISO 13346 UDF (Universal Disk Format) which
> >harmonizes
> >> >all CD recording standards including ISO 9660. Available in 1996. A
> >> >future technology, 3rd generation blue lasers [sort of a blue light
> >> >special], should yield a 40 GByte ROM for HDTV.]
> >> >
> >> >1 pulp tree (loblolly pine) = 1/10th cord of wood = 10,000 pages = 1
> >File
> >> >Cabinet = 4 banker's boxes = 1/2 GByte
> >> >
> >> >[1 lumber tree (20 inch diameter, 110 ft tall, 50 years old) = 1
cord, > >10
> >> >pulp tree (8 in. dia., 50 ft tall, 20 yrs old) = 1 cord, 1 cord = 4 x
4 > >x 8
> >> >ft = 128 cubic ft (75 cubic feet of wood)]
> >> >
> >> >1 wordprocessor or OCR'ed (Optical Character Recognition) page = 5
> >KBytes
> >> >(all pages listed above are scanned pages)
> >> >
> >> >1 compressed page of COLD (Computer Output to Laser Disk) or COOL
> >(Computer
> >> >Output On-Line) = 1 KBytes
> >> >
> >> >Minimum commercial scanning cost for backfile conversion (more than 1
> >> >million pages) ~ 5 cents per page
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >Search by:
> >> >
> >> >Database entry/Unique identifier
> >> >Full text/Fuzzy search
> >> >Nested folders/Aliased folders
> >> >Concept/Thesaurus search
> >> >Document structure (SGML)
> >> >Hyperlink traversal/annotation
> >> >Email{ed}link/Workflow link
> >> >Card catalog/Finding aid
> >> >Sequential search/Date scanned
> >> >Log of reading history/Date entered
> >> >Bibliography/Citation counts
> >> >ActiveX (Object Link) link
> >> >Spatial /Temporal coordinates (GIS)
> >> >Internet agents/Popularity chart
> >> >Time Code (SMPTE)/GPS orientation
> >> >Image Matching / Image Analysis
> >> >Thumb Print / Physiological ID
> >> >Combination of any or all of the above
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >The raster image is the image of record: (OCR'ed/vectorized images
> >> >constitute re-authoring/re-engineering)
> >> >Rev 30
> >> >
> >> >http://www.ArchiveBuilders.com mailto:SteveGilheany@ArchiveBuilders.com 1147
> >> >Manhattan Avenue, Suite 322, Manhattan Beach, CA 90266 Tel: (310)
> >937-7000
> >> >Fax: (310) 937-7001
> >> >
> >> >-----
> >> >Course Description
> >> >-----
> >> >
> >> >The above are two of the one-page handouts for the following course:
> >> >
> >> >UCLA Extension will present a three day class on Document Imaging and
> >> >Document Management in Downtown Los Angeles at the World Trade
Center, > >next
> >> >to the Westin Bonaventure Hotel (800) 228-3000 (213) 624-1000 [Many
> >other
> >> >motels and hotels are available.] The dates are September 25, 26, and
> >27,
> >> >Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. To
> >> >accommodate fly-in students, the class meets from 1 PM to 9 PM on
> >Thursday
> >> >and Friday, and from 9 AM to 5:00 PM on Saturday. The fee is
$375.00. > >> >This course is for managers who have been assigned to specify,
install > >or
> >> >manage a document imaging system. Students will learn about the
> >technology
> >> >of scanning, importing, transmitting, storing, protecting, locating,
> >> >retrieving, viewing, and printing documents.. Image and document
> >formats,
> >> >multimedia, rich text, GIS (Geographic Information Systems), CAD
> >(Computer
> >> >Aided Design), and image enabled databases will be discussed. The
> >course
> >> >also covers the integration of the DVD, DirecTV, DirecPC, Cable,
> >Telephony,
> >> >the Internet and PC. UCLA Extension registration is (310) 825-9971.
> >Ask
> >> >for course X 814.14, registration number B4004. For information,
please > >> >contact the instructor, at mailto:SteveGilheany@ArchiveBuilders.com. (310)
> >> >937-7000. Instructor: Steve Gilheany, BA CS, MBA, MLS Specialization
in > >> >Information Science, CDIA (Certified Document Imaging System
Architect), > >> >Sr. Systems Engineer, Archive Builders.
> >> >
> >> >The following is offered to reduce duplication: This posting has been
> >cross
> >> >listed on the following lists: ALA-LITA-L, Archives, DigLib,
DigLib-ns, > >> >DPRA, ERECS-L, HIM-L, ImageLib, PACS-L, RecMgmt, and SLA-DITA. If you
> >can
> >> >suggest other lists that might have readers that are interested in
the > >> >topic, please let me know and I will subscribe to those lists and
post > >this
> >> >message to those lists. If you can post it more easily than I can,
> >please
> >> >let me know and I will ask one person to post it to each list
> >> >
> >> >Steve Gilheany
> >> >Tel: (310) 937-4757 Fax: (310) 937-4758
> >> >mailto:SteveGilheany@worldnet.att.net